Archive for September, 2008

Sep 16 2008

Rates Lower and Mortgage Applications Increase

Published by aagrealestate under Housing Market

Shockwaves from the federal takeover of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are still rumbling through the economy as a whole and the housing sector in particular.

 

But what’s the government’s move going to mean for the real estate market? Well, it hasn’t taken long to get at least a preliminary answer: Mortgage rates dropped by four tenths of a percent almost immediately after the announcement – and there are signs that rates for home buyers could fall even further.

Why? Because uncertainty over the financial stability of both companies had spooked the bond market for months, adding on higher costs for borrowings by Fannie and Freddie — which got passed on to consumers.

Plus, Fannie and Freddie both had recently doubled their upfront delivery fees for loans — a half percentage point — and now those could be lowered or eliminated by the new management. Beyond that, there’s a good chance both companies’ so-called “G-fees” — what they charge private lenders to guarantee their mortgage pools — will also drop, further lowering rates.

In the Mortgage Bankers Association’s latest national survey, 30-year fixed rates hovered around 6 percent and were trending lower, while 15 year fixed rate money was at five and three quarters percent.

Even more impressive, applications for new mortgages shot up by 9 and a half percent in the week of the takeover. Applications for home purchase loans to be funded by Fannie or Freddie jumped by 14.4 percent!

So, yes, there’s been an immediate and very positive impact for real estate flowing from the resolution of the Fannie/Freddie saga.

Also on the plus side this week, the latest monthly home price survey by Denver-based Integrated Asset Services found a zero point 9 percent (0.9) increase in average prices, although the survey also found prices off by 11.4 percent year over year through July.

The lower mortgage rates came too late to have an impact on the latest pending home sales index from the National Association of Realtors. It took a 3.2 percent drop last month, but there are signs that could turn around.

Realtors chief economist, Lawrence Yun, noted that pending sales were actually UP significantly in a number of hard-hit major markets in California, Florida, and the outer suburbs of Washington DC.

And he said that the relatively recent reappearance of “multiple bids” on properties in those markets are “signaling a bottom” in prices — the long-awaited flattening out of the cycle that should lead to a slow recovery in the months ahead.

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Sep 09 2008

Fannie/Freddie Takeover

Published by aagrealestate under Housing Market

Over the weekend, the government announced that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were placed in conservatorship. This means that the two companies will temporarily be run by their regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The Fannie and Freddie Boards and Executive Officers were replaced, but employees were encouraged to stay. The stated objectives of this action were to stabilize the mortgage market, insure the availability of funding for new mortgage loans, and insure that new mortgages are affordable.

 

While a conservator will have control over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, product availability and day to day operations for the origination of mortgages are expected to continue uninterrupted and essentially unchanged.

 

Fannie and Freddie are expected to increase the number of mortgages they own this year and next year, before reducing their portfolios beginning in 2010. Fannie and Freddie together own or guarantee roughly half of the $12 trillion in outstanding mortgage debt, and they are currently responsible for about 75% of all new mortgage originations, so the viability of the two companies is essential for an efficient mortgage market.

 

As a result of the takeover, the government now explicitly guarantees the obligations of Fannie and Freddie securities. This has removed uncertainty and increased the demand for mortgage securities. Both domestic and foreign investors had recently reduced their purchases of mortgage securities, and they are now expected to be comfortable stepping up their purchases again. Mortgage rates reacted favorably to the news on Monday. 

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Sep 02 2008

Oyster Festival in Asbury Park 12 to 6 on 9/14

Published by aagrealestate under Asbury Park,Fun Stuff

ASBURY PARK PRESS — At least 18 restaurants plan to join in the Guinness Oyster Festival under the tents from noon to 6 p.m. Sept. 14 on Cookman Avenue. The Asbury Park Chamber of Commerce’s food and music festival has been planned on a much larger scale than in the past, with proceeds to fund future downtown events. The Asbury Park Press is this year’s festival presenter. Participating restaurants include Brickwall Tavern and Dining Room, Carmine’s Asbury Park, D & L Bar-B-Que, Hotel Tides Restaurant & Spa, Isabella’s Ristorante, Ketchup, Laila’s, Market Danieli, Market in the Middle, Mattison Park, Munch, O’Toole’s Irish Pub, Restaurant Plan B, Sea Greens, Sister Sue’s, Synaxis at the Shore, and The Harrison. Fresh oysters will be shucked and served by the Blue Point Grill of Princeton, the only restaurant participating from out of the area. “There’s such diversity, and the price is good,” saidRuthanne Harrison, a city resident, and the producer of the festival. “You can get almost anything you want down here.” The Irish rock band Black 47 will be the featured band. Other performers include deSol, Joe Hurley and Rogue’s March, Deni Bonet, Asbury Park Mayor Kevin Sanders’ Mayors Players, and the Monmouth County Police and Fire Pipes and Drums. Harrison said examples of what participants will pay are $4 for three oysters; $6 for two Cuban sandwiches, $4 for shrimp empanadas, $4 for corn chowder with a fried oyster, $4 for oyster ceviche and $4 for homemade french fries with malt vinegar. Harrison said she has raised more than $120,000 in cash or in-kind sponsorships for the event. Additional sponsors include DeLisa Demolition, Southside Florist, New Jersey Division of Travel and Tourism, Asbury Park Urban Enterprise Zone, G Rock Radio 106.3 and 106.5, and Marriott Vacation Club..

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Sep 02 2008

Pier Village in Long Branch

Published by aagrealestate under Long Branch

Asbury Park Press – Opponents said it wouldn’t last. They said the first good storm would knock it down. But not only has the four-year-old Pier Village become the “destination” city officials said they needed to remake the oceanfront, its second phase is ready for occupancy. Before the desk clerk has a chance to light the No Vacancy sign on the second phase “boutique” hotel, city officials will be reviewing plans for the village’s third phase, which includes another, much larger hotel, apartments, condominiums and retail space.

 

Why is Pier Village thriving as the economy falters and takes redevelopment plans for the city’s Beachfront South section down with it?  For Greg Russo, a principal in Applied Development, which is developing Pier Village, it was a curious dynamic way back in 2000 when he was scouting locations. Most officials in towns considering redevelopment wanted for-sale housing. But Pier Village was to be rental, which has proven to be one of its saving graces, officials agree.  “The rental market has provided so much more than the for-sale market,” Russo said. “As the for-sale market collapsed in many areas, the rental market has remained strong, which is why we were able to go ahead with it.”

 

A united and committed City Council helped, Councilman Anthony Giordano recalled, saying the city was advised by experts in the retail trade that its goal to develop 100,000 square feet of retail in the first phase was too much. “Insane” was the word used.  “The recommendation we got back was 25,000 square feet,” Giordano said. “Our instincts told us differently. We thought in time finding the right developers and operators would create a successful beachfront neighborhood, and that certainly has been the case.”

 

Pier Village is the first of the redevelopment projects here. Russo said Applied was attracted to the oceanfront and had been considering both Asbury Park and Long Branch, but settled on Long Branch because it had the more stable municipal government in 2000. And it also had a burned-out pier and a rat-infested water slide, as Mayor Adam Schneider likes to point out. Pier Village made that disappear.  Now, in the summer, motorists can encounter gridlock getting into the development, Schneider said. And that is a good thing.

 

“From our point of view, if you are a beachfront community and you don’t have a parking problem, something is wrong,” he said. “This is a testament to smart growth and planning.” City Business Administrator Howard H. Woolley said there will be 1,400 parking spaces at Pier Village when it is built out. Pier Village also benefits because of its location in the middle of a tri-state region where 20 million people are within half-a-gasoline-tank of shopping, eating and beachfront recreation, including athletic clubs. Boosting the effort to make the project a destination was Avenue in Pier Village recently being named one of the 25 best restaurants in the state, and the area last year being named one of the 20 great American beaches by Travel and Leisure Magazine. Meanwhile, beach badge revenue will probably top $800,000 this year, mostly drawn from Pier Village access points, and that’s a city record, Schneider said. And the city’s plan  to initially attract redevelopers to remake the oceanfront in order to attract redevelopers to move west, sparking redevelopment of Broadway, the city’s prime commercial corridor  finally is paying off, Giordano said.

 

“The other thing that is noteworthy about Pier Village, its success is really what is driving the significant level of interest in the revitalization of lower Broadway,” where an arts and entertainment project is planned, among others, Giordano said. Who comes to Pier Village? Giordano said locals do, especially for the Thursday and Friday concerts, which are free. Schneider contends it is more of an out-of-town crowd. Michele Wilk of M. Wilk Consulting, Manasquan, the leasing agent for Pier Village’s retail end, said the complex seems to draw from both New York and North Jersey, as well as shoppers from Rumson, Deal, Oceanport, Allenhurst and other surrounding towns. Wilk said that, in general, shoppers are looking for a more “edgy” kind of merchandise. While there was initial turnover in some of the boutiques, the many restaurants have stayed constant and are flourishing, Wilk said. And she recalled that when she initially tried to get merchants to commit to leasing space in an upscale complex in what has long been considered blue-collar Long Branch, they laughed.

 

“When I first started leasing this project, no one would believe anything like this could be developed there, and now it is supersuccessful,” Wilk said. “I think we offer something a little bit different, and the quality is there.”  She said Pier Village is not feeling the economic downturn. However, Wilk, who also leases for upscale shopping complexes in Shrewsbury and Wall, acknowledges the picture is not so bright in other locations. “I know there are a lot of other retailers who are feeling the pinch right now, but Pier Village is holding its own,” she said. “It is different. It is something a little bit different.” In contrast to the Pier Village progress, Schneider and the city council must decide how to proceed with one-time plans for the second phase of Beachfront North, which was to contain 180 luxury condominiums. An appellate panel recently said  to the relief of property owners in that section  that the city’s 1996 redevelopment plan fails to comport with heightened standards of blight approved in 2007. The city must now decide whether to go back to court to try to prove the section is blighted so that it can be redeveloped.

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